Published April 3, 2026

A Season of Renewal—In Life and Real Estate

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Written by Justin Etherton

Spring Construction of New Homes

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Happy Easter 🌷

 

Spring is a season of new beginnings, fresh starts, and renewed perspective.

That same theme is showing up in the Santa Barbara real estate market. Despite rising costs—gas, groceries, and everyday expenses—the market continues to show resilience.
 

🏡 Buyers are still active when they see a strong opportunity

📈 Inventory is expected to increase as we move deeper into spring and summer

 

That increase in inventory would be a welcome shift for many buyers who have been patiently waiting for more options.

The question is:
Will this be the fresh start the market is looking for—or will we continue to see limited inventory and cautious buyers and sellers

Spring Break in Santa Barbara is coming to a close, and we finish the week celebrating Easter.

While many celebrate with egg hunts and traditions (we do too 🥚🐰), Easter carries a much deeper meaning.

It is a celebration of the ultimate sacrifice—Jesus willingly giving His life and rising again three days later, offering hope, grace, and new life to all who receive it.

My family will be celebrating Good Friday and Easter in the Goodland at Anthem Chapel. I’m grateful for this time with family, friends, and community.

This weekend we celebrate:

“He is Risen, Risen Indeed.”

God Bless,
Etherton Real Estate Group

 

 

6 economists and real estate pros predict where mortgage rates are heading in April — and beyond
By Alisa Wolfson
MarketWatch

Mortgage rates are sitting at 6.38%, according to the latest Freddie Mac data — which is slightly elevated from earlier this year, but still lower than a year prior (in January 2025, rates climbed above 7% for a bit). (You can see mortgage rate offers in your area here, from our ad partner Bankrate.) So what’s next for mortgage rates? We asked six pros.

While there’s a slight possibility of rates easing downward, they are more likely to remain in the low-6% range for the near term, predicts Jen Poniatowski, SVP of mortgage growth and market development at Key Mortgage. “Any movement lower would likely be incremental rather than significant, barring a meaningful shift in inflation or the bond market,” says Poniatowski.
 

But, of course, there are a lot of factors that will determine whether rates go up or down — energy prices among them. After having touched below 6% briefly before the oil price shock, mortgage rates will depend on how oil prices retreat or elevate, says Lawrence Yun, chief economist and senior vice president of research at the National Association of Realtors. “If oil prices retreat closer to $70 per barrel, then mortgage rates may return closer to 6%. If oil prices reach $100, then mortgage rates may rise to 6.7% to 7%,” says Yun.

Zillow’s chief economist, Mischa Fisher, says though there’s a lot of volatility, he expects mortgage rates to be elevated through much of April given the latent impact of energy prices. “Energy prices are front and center right now. Rising oil prices have stoked inflation concerns which tend to push mortgage rates higher. Higher mortgage rates have eroded some of the affordability gains we saw earlier this year, which has dampened our outlook for activity this spring,” says Fisher.

For his part, Stephen Kates, financial analyst at Bankrate, notes that average mortgage rates have risen about 0.5 percentage points since late February and are expected to stay elevated at this level for the foreseeable future. “The conflict in Iran and the specter of rising inflation are pushing Treasury yields higher which has in turn raised mortgage rates,” says Kates.

In terms of other factors that will move the needle in April, Kates says uncertainty around inflation is a primary factor since it directly affects the 10-year Treasury yield, which anchors 30-year mortgage rates. “The mortgage-treasury spread, which is the difference between the two rates, has widened slightly in the last month but remains within the normal range,” says Kates.

Mortgage rates closely follow the 10-year Treasury Bill yields much more than the Fed Funds rate. The former captures financial markets’ expectations about economic conditions in the medium-term, during which the mortgage has to be repaid, while the latter captures and reacts to short-term economic shocks, explains Francesco D’Acunto, faculty affiliate at Georgetown McDonough’s Steers Center for Global Real Assets. “For this reason, the prediction for mortgage rates in April ultimately rests on what will happen with the current most concerning source of uncertainty for medium-term economic conditions, the war on Iran,” says D’Acunto.

As long as the conflict in the Middle East continues without a resolution in sight, Jeff DerGurahian at loanDepot says rates will remain elevated. “If signs of a resolution begin to emerge, there is some potential for rates to gradually come down closer to the 6% range,” says DerGurahian.

What might this mean for home sales?

Yun mentions that the spring homebuying season was projected to experience its best performance in three years with mortgage rates headed to 6%, before the oil price shock. “If mortgage rates stay at or near 6.5% then home sales may barely grow at all,” says Yun.

What’s more, Kates says existing home sales are already severely depressed and are not likely to worsen much further. “New home sales were poor in January but may recover slightly during the spring home buying season. Overall, until mortgage rates fall more meaningfully into the 5% range, total home sales will not budge,” says Kates.

Given the volatility, DerGurahian says it’s too early to know exactly how the spring market will unfold. “Every little move in rates matters when it comes to affordability and the way homebuyers think about purchasing, so getting back closer to 6% would certainly help, but there’s more than a good chance this season ends up being a better market than we’ve seen in the last couple of years if some of this volatility settles down,” says DerGurahian.

Should you consider buying now?

Specific numbers aside, trying to time mortgage rates is a gamble. “If a home fits your budget and your life, it typically makes sense to move forward, especially since buyers can refinance later if rates fall,” says Fisher. What’s more, while there’s a continued focus on interest rates, they are only one component of the overall transaction, says Poniatowski. “Loan structure, preparation and execution are equally important, particularly in competitive markets,” says Poniatowski.

Another important thing borrowers should know right now is that adjustable-rate mortgages are still worth looking at. “While the recent move in short-term rates has made ARMs a little less attractive relative to the 30-year fixed, there are still options out there in the high 5% range for qualified buyers,” says DerGurahian. (You can see mortgage rate offers in your area here, from our ad partner Bankrate.)

 

Read the Full Article Here!

Gavin Newsom Warns California Cities To Prepare for More Housing—or Else

By Tristan Navera
Realtor.com

California Gov. Gavin Newsom is warning some cities in his state that they need to comply with state laws mandating more housing development, or they could face action from the attorney general.

Newsom said 15 jurisdictions—Kings County and Merced County, plus several smaller cities mostly under 50,000 people like Half Moon Bay and Oakdale—have 30 days to respond before the state takes further action.

California has determined all of them are more than two years behind schedule in adopting an element. None has a clear path to compliance in the next 60 days. Newsom said that indicates they don't plan to comply with the state law.

"I’m disappointed on behalf of the state and the people of California that after years of effort, we still have communities that aren’t meeting the needs of their residents," Newsom said in a 
statement. "There’s no carve-out here. No community gets a pass when it comes to addressing homelessness or creating more housing access."

 

What California law says about housing

California law requires all cities to adopt a "housing element," or a plan to meet housing needs "at all income levels." These elements also require plans that don't constrain housing development.

The state-by-state housing affordability report card from Realtor.com® gives California an F. Newsom has pressed reforms to allow building more housing in the state, especially more dense housing in areas that have previously resisted it.

The state began cracking down on cities that failed to adopt housing elements in 2021. About 480 jurisdictions in the state have since adopted housing elements, and an additional 22 will finalize theirs within 60 days.

But the state has taken legal action against several cities that refused to do so, including Anaheim, Flintridge, and Huntington Beach. The latter city recently lost its appeal in California Superior Court.

Newsom said the state would "keep pushing forward by enforcing the law, fighting NIMBY actions, and holding local governments accountable."

The cities of Atwater, Avenal, California City, Corcoran, Escalon, Hanford, Lemoore, Montclair, Patterson, Ridgecrest, and Turlock also received warnings.

Read the Full Article Here!

Best States To Buy A House In 2026

By Marco Santarelli
Norada Real Estate Investments

If you've been dreaming of becoming a homeowner, 2026 is shaping up to be one of the most exciting years to buy a house in recent memory. After what felt like an eternity of bidding wars and sky-high prices, the housing market is doing something truly wonderful: it's rebalancing. This means more homes are hitting the market, prices are cooling off a bit, and most importantly, buyers are finally getting some of their power back. I've been following the housing trends for years, and based on what I'm seeing from reputable sources like Realtor.com, Zillow, and the National Association of REALTORS®, the states I'm about to highlight are poised to offer the best opportunities for savvy homebuyers.

10 Best States to Buy a House in 2026

The housing market in 2026 is characterized by a “rebalancing” as inventory levels rise and home price growth slows, shifting power back toward buyers. According to recent data, the best states to buy a house in 2026 fall into two main categories: those offering maximum affordability and those emerging as high-growth hot spots.

Let's dive into the places where your homeownership dreams can become a reality without breaking the bank, or where smart investments are likely to pay off.

1. South Carolina: The Growth Magnet You Can Afford

South Carolina has been a shining star for a while, and it continues to impress as a top destination for anyone looking to buy. It's not just about beautiful beaches and Southern charm anymore; it's about real economic growth and a market that's becoming more accessible. For years, people have been flocking to the Palmetto State, and that trend isn't slowing down.

  • Why it's Great: A decade-long trend of people moving here means more vibrant communities and services.
  • Charleston's Charm (with a Twist): While Charleston is a major draw, and rightly so, it's not the only story. Household incomes are rising here, and jobs are plentiful. What's really good news for buyers is that a good chunk of sellers are actually lowering their prices to stay competitive.
  • Value Inland: If Charleston feels a little too much like the action is heating up, don't worry. Places like Columbia are the real “sweet spot.” Housing is significantly cheaper than in Charleston, and the number of homes available has really increased. This gives you more choices and more room to negotiate.

2. North Carolina: Where Jobs and New Homes Meet

North Carolina is a powerhouse, especially if you're into tech or just appreciate having plenty of new housing options. It's a state that's been actively building, and that's excellent news for buyers who have felt crowded out in recent years.

  • The “Research Triangle” Advantage: This area, including Raleigh and Durham, is famous for its high-paying tech jobs thanks to big names like Apple and Google setting up shop. This means a strong economy and good prospects for your investment.
  • More Homes, Fewer Bidding Wars: North Carolina has been adding tons of new homes – nearly 100,000! This surge in inventory is a game-changer. It's helping to take the “wild” out of bidding wars and making the process a lot more predictable.
  • Charlotte's Balance: Even in popular cities like Charlotte, the market is finding a healthy balance. With a good amount of homes for sale, you're less likely to find yourself in a crazy bidding situation.

3. Indiana: The Affordability Champion

If your main goal is to get the most bang for your buck, Indiana, especially around its capital, Indianapolis, should be high on your list. This is a place where your money goes further, and the market is truly leaning in favor of buyers.

  • Indianapolis: A Buyer's Paradise: Zillow actually ranked Indianapolis as the #1 most buyer-friendly market for 2026. That's a big deal!
  • Construction is Booming: Indianapolis and its surrounding towns have been busy with new construction. This means more choices for you, whether you're looking for a brand-new build or a slightly older home.
  • Saving Money: With more homes available and many sellers willing to negotiate, buyers in Indianapolis are likely to save a significant amount of money each month compared to just a year or two ago. It's a win-win for your wallet.

4. West Virginia: Strategic Value and Scenic Living

For years, West Virginia has been recognized for its incredible affordability, and that's not changing. But it's more than just cheap housing; it's becoming a smart choice for a variety of people, including those working remotely who want a lower cost of living and a beautiful natural setting.

  • Lower Cost of Living: Everything from groceries to gas to housing is generally cheaper here than the national average. This means you can stretch your budget further.
  • Breathing Room for Buyers: With more homes on the market and houses taking a little longer to sell, you have the time to make a thoughtful decision. No need to rush into an offer.
  • Low Property Taxes: This is a big one for long-term homeownership. West Virginia has some of the lowest property taxes in the country, which can save you a lot of money over the years.

5. Utah: Economic Strength Meets Buyer Power

Utah’s economy has been on fire for a while, attracting people and businesses alike. While this has sometimes led to a competitive housing market, a recent surge in new home construction is finally shifting the balance.

  • Robust Economy: Utah's strong job market and growing economy continue to draw folks in, creating stable demand.
  • Supply Catches Up: After a big push in building new homes along the “Wasatch Front” (the populated corridor including Salt Lake City), there's a much healthier supply of houses. This means buyers have more negotiating power, with a significant percentage of homes selling after a price reduction.
  • Great for Bargaining: If you like to negotiate, Utah is a great place to be right now. The increased inventory means sellers are more open to offers.
....
 

Read the Full Article Here!

 

Trump ban on investor homebuying may come at cost of a bigger real estate deal


By Bob Woods
The Bottom Line - CNBC

Affordability has gone from being a dry financial term to an all-purpose hot button. Groceries, health care, child care, cars, gas — you name it, and affordability is attached to it these days. And then there’s housing, one of the stickiest issues in America’s affordability discussions. 

On March 12, the U.S. Senate passed a massive housing bill addressing affordability and supply, mostly of single-family homes. The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, chock-full of more than 40 provisions, garnered rare — by today’s rancorous political standards — bipartisan support, tallying a 89-10 vote. The bill features a slew of financing, permitting, zoning and environmental reforms aimed at lowering housing costs and speeding up new home construction.  

The House passed an equally bipartisan, if pared-down version in February. The Senate bill, which adopted many of House provisions, now moves back to the lower chamber for consideration, where it’s facing an uphill battle, primarily over the contentious issue of whether large institutional investors should continue buying and renting homes, a practice decried by both progressive stalwart Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. — a co-sponsor of the ROAD Act — and President Donald Trump, who issued an executive order in January calling for an end to the practice

Ironically, that so-called “build-to-rent” portion of the housing market is relatively small compared to another one — factory-built manufactured homes — which received a huge boost from the ROAD Act and is far more consequential toward the overarching goal of building more homes. 

The bill allows manufactured homes to be assembled without a permanent chassis, increases federal loan limits for buyers and relaxes zoning regulations on where they can be sited. Those changes go a long way toward removing the stigma hanging over low-priced “mobile homes.” 

“That is the challenge we’ve had,” said Dr. Lesli Gooch, CEO of the Manufactured Housing Institute, the industry’s trade association. “The stigma comes from what our houses look like and the elevations we’re able to offer. We will [now] be allowed under our federal building code to build more housing types,” she said. “We were constrained for 50 years that every house we built had to be on a permanent chassis.” 

By allowing for removable chassis, the bill will enable manufactured homes builders to innovate designs, said Bill Boor, CEO of Cavco Industries, one of the industry’s largest companies, in an email statement. “While we’ll still make permanent-chassis homes, the ability to also make removable chassis homes will continue to break down zoning barriers and increase the supply of lower-cost, high-quality homes,” he wrote.

In anticipation of the legislative changes, Boor says Cavco has invested heavily in retooling its existing plants to increase capacity and change its production processes where possible. “Similarly, in the last two years, we have unified our branding under the Cavco name to expand recognition in the marketplace and segmented our extensive product offering,” he wrote.

Berkshire Hathaway-owned Clayton Homes is the biggest player in this market.

Taken together, the provisions have the potential to substantially increase housing supply and create low-cost options for achieving the American Dream of homeownership, an ideal that’s been slipping away. More than 70% of Americans are concerned about housing affordability, according to several polls. No wonder, considering that the national median price for a single-family home is roughly $400,000, in a real-estate market with a housing supply shortage of 4 million homes and while 30-year mortgage rates stubbornly remain above 6%.

... 
 

Big investors and buy-to-rent controversy

Although enhancements to the factory-built housing industry are far more meaningful in terms of expanding the supply of affordable homes, the investor provisions are receiving outsized attention. Dating back to the Great Recession and the Covid pandemic, when private investment firms began pouring billions into purchasing single-family homes, the issue has become an equal-opportunity boogeyman. The ROAD Act calls for a ban on large institutional investors from buying new single-family homes if they already own at least 350 such dwellings.  

There is, however, a carveout that allows those investors to build new homes and rehabilitate existing ones, specifically for the rental market. But there’s a critical caveat, stipulating that those homes would have to be sold to individual buyers after seven years. Unlike Sen. Warren, President Trump appeased Wall Street, as well as home builders, by endorsing this concession for the BTR market, which has accelerated in recent years in communities across the country. The House-passed version does not include the investor provision in any form, and House members are now divided on whether to add it in.    

The BTR issue has drawn mixed reactions across the housing industry. While the Senate bill was still being debated, several industry groups — including the National Association of Home Builders, the Mortgage Bankers Association and the National Housing Conference — issued a position paper stating that “the seven-year disposition requirement will effectively shut down BTR development, leading to less supply and fewer options for renters.” According to a recent report by Redfin, 31% of rentals in the U.S. are single-family homes, the lowest share on record. 

The day the ROAD Act passed, NAHB chairman Bill Owens put out a statement quantifying the possible impact of the BTR ban, saying that it “could slash single-family production by nearly 40,000 units per year.” 

Yet, as often as institutional investors have been vilified for scooping up millions of homes, the data doesn’t back up the contention. Indeed, investors who own more than 100 properties make up less than 1% of the U.S. housing market, according to an August report from the American Enterprise Institute’s Housing Center. 

Nonetheless, at the margin, that’s a significant share, especially within the BTR market, said Edward Pinto, senior fellow and co-director of the AEI Housing Center. While BTR communities are a relatively new phenomenon, he said, those homes already account for 4% of total single-family rental stock, and they play an outsize role in some key, populous states across the country. 

“The capital being provided by these investors would not be able to be substituted by the building of single-family owned properties,” Pinto said. He cited AEI data showing that 72% of BTR developments are concentrated in just six states — Florida, Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia. “It turns out that it’s easier to build a [BTR] development in those six states than it is to build a single-family for-sale development.” 

 

...

Read the Full Article Here!

What people are saying!
Here are some of our recent client testimonials!







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ANOTHER SUCCESS STORY!!!


Congratulations to Howard and Elaine on this beautiful home in Montecito. This is a great home that we got for you with over $350k in upgrades. 

I can't wait to see how you turn this house into a home!




 




 

Coming Soon And Off Market Properties!

See all the current properties that are not yet on the market. Send us an email and we can start sending you these properties daily.

I have several off market properties I know of that the owners are willing to show prior to going the market.

Here's What's Happening This April!

Easter Service
@Anthem Chapel

4/5 @ 8:30 & 10:30 AM
@ Goleta Valley Jr High


Santa Barbara Fair and Expo
4/23 - 5/3 
Earl Warren Showgrounds


California Poppy Day
California Nature Art Museum

4/12


4th Annual Natural Coast Wine Festival
4/25 12pm-5pm
@ The Factory

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